2010 Southwestern Athletic Conference Tournament Preview

NCAA Basketball Betting Lines

03/08/2010 - Philadelphia, PA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Jackson State has played in the last three Southwestern Athletic Conference Tournament Championship games and the top- seeded Tigers have a strong chance to reach that point again in the 33rd- annual SWAC Tournament, starting on Wednesday.

Jackson State, which collected a 17-1 ledger in conference play this season, lost in the final game the last two seasons, but claimed its fifth title back in 2007. The second seed went to Arkansas-Pine Bluff, while the third seed was corralled by last season's SWAC tournament champion, Alabama State. The Golden Lions only finished 14-15 overall on the season, but in conference play the team was an impressive 14-4. As for the Hornets, they hoisted the SWAC trophy for the third time in their history last year, but this season might be a tough challenge for Alabama State, which finished with a 12-6 league ledger. Prairie View A&M and Texas Southern come into this event as the fourth and fifth seeds, respectively, after both posting an 11-7 mark against SWAC opponents. The final three seeds are rounded out by Alabama A&M (8-10), Mississippi Valley State (8-10) and Grambling State (4-14).

Quarterfinal action will begin Wednesday when the second-seeded Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions battle the seventh-seeded Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils. These two schools closed out the regular season against each other and the meeting was claimed by Arkansas-Pine Bluff, 84-68. The Golden Lions earned the second spot with a 14-4 league mark, and caught fire down the stretch, winning eight of the last nine matchups. As for the Delta Devils, they tallied only nine victories on the season, but eight of those wins came in league play. MVSU, which won its fourth SWAC title in 2008, closed its regular season with five losses in its last eight matchups.

The Tigers will be let out of the cage in the second quarterfinal matchup on Wednesday, as the top-seeded Tigers of Jackson State tangle with the eighth- seeded Tigers of Grambling State. Jackson State rolls into this event with a 13-game winning streak, and is the favor to not only win this matchup, but earn a spot in its fourth straight SWAC Tournament title games. The success for Jackson State clearly makes this an uphill battle for Grambling State, which finished just 4-14 in league play and comes into this contest with a seven-game slide. Jackson State won both meetings this season, but Grambling State was able to force overtime in the second matchup, which could give the team some type of confidence.

The other two quarterfinal matchups will take place on Thursday, beginning with a meeting between the sixth-seeded Alabama A&M Bulldogs and the third- seeded Alabama State Hornets. The Bulldogs fell into the sixth seed with an 8-10 record in conference play. Alabama A&M snapped a three-game slide in its regular-season finale, but claiming its second tournament title could be a tough task. As for the Hornets, they claimed their third SWAC Tournament title this past season with a victory over Jackson State. This season Alabama State finished 12-6 in conference play, but ended its regular season with a loss to Jackson State that snapped the team's six-game winning streak. In the two meetings between the schools this season, the Hornets were victories twice.

The final quarterfinal battle will pit the fifth-seeded Texas Southern Tigers against the fourth-seeded Prairie View A&M Panthers. The Panthers won their lone SWAC Tournament title back in 1998, and the team will have to be at its best if it plans on ending the drought. Prairie View A&M lost two of its last three regular-season games, but still finished with a respectable 11-7 mark in conference action. As for the Tigers, they also posted an 11-7 mark and roll into this event with a three-game winning streak. Texas Southern, which has won this championship four times, last reigned supreme in the SWAC back in 2003. Although these two teams both finished 11-7 in conference action, the Panthers defeated the Tigers twice during the regular season.

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FOOTBALL BETTING : Crabtree's base deal: six years, $32 million

Football Betting

In the wake of the news that the 49ers have signed receiver Michael Crabtree after an extended holdout, there has been not a hint of the dollars to be paid to Crabtree.

And since this means that his agent hasn't leaked the numbers, it means that his agent feels no specific motivation to do so.

Possibly because his agent isn't all that thrilled to have his name on the deal.

So the numbers will come from sources other than Crabtree's agent. And we've gotten our mitts into them.

Per a league source, Crabtree has signed a six-year, $32 million contract. (The total includes guaranteed money, base salaries, and the one-time incentive based on achieving minimum playing time.)

The deal also includes $17 million in guaranteed money.

As reported elsewhere, the deal can void to five years based on performance triggers, wiping out a final year base salary of $4 million. But they won't be easily reached.

The source tells us that, in his first four seasons (including 2009), Crabtree must either qualify for two Pro Bowls, or he must qualify for one Pro Bowl in one year and he must participate in 80 percent of the offensive snaps in a separate year in which the team makes the playoffs.

In other words, if in 2010 he qualifies for the Pro Bowl and the team makes the playoffs and he participates in 80 percent of the snaps, he'll still need to make it to the Pro Bowl or achieve the 80-percent/playoffs in another season.

Since the chances of Crabtree making the Pro Bowl or participating in 80 percent of the offensive snaps this year is roughly zero percent, he'll have three years to get it done.

And it won't be easy. Frankly, he'll be hard pressed to make it to one Pro Bowl in three years with the likes of Larry Fitzgerald, Calvin Johnson, Anquan Boldin, Steve Smith, the other Steve Smith, Hakeem Nicks, DeSean Jackson, Johnny Knox, Percy Harvin, Greg Jennings, Roddy White, T.J. Houshmandzadeh in the same conference for sportsbook betting.

So, by all appearances, it's a six-year deal. And at $17 million in guaranteed money, the per-year guarantee is a tepid $2.83 million per year.

There's another problem with the deal -- it has no mid-tier incentive package. Instead, the additional $8 million that Crabtree can earn (pushing the max value to six years, $40 million) requires the kind of unrealistic, mega-star performances that no rookie is likely to ever achieve.

So while the contract paid to Packers defensive tackle B.J. Raji covers five years and pays $22.5 million, he has the ability (if he's a solid player) to make up the difference between his base deal and Crabtree's five-year, $28 million haul via the mid-tier incentive package in Raji's deal.

And unless Crabtree meets the performance thresholds necessary to void the sixth year, he'll be stuck under contract for another year at a base salary of only $4 million.

There's one other area of concern with the deal. Crabtree, per the source, received no option bonus. Instead, he has significant money tied to a fairly new device known as a "discretionary salary advance," which unlike an opition bonus is subject to forfeiture if Crabtree decides in a year or two that he wants to hold out for a better deal. (We're also told that the 49ers have included language that would make certain escalators subject to forfeiture, too.)

Meanwhile, the deal falls well short of the mark for which Crabtree and agent Eugene Parker were aiming -- the five-year, $38.25 million contract paid by the Raiders to receiver Darrius Heyward-Bey, the seventh overall pick in the draft.

Even if Crabtree successfully voids the final year, he'll make more than $2 million per year less on average than Heyward-Bey.

Thus, as we explained earlier in the day, this is a deal that Crabtree could have done in July, which would have given him a much better chance of making a contribution to the 49ers during his rookie year.

So while the final outcome can be described as win-win, the broader view suggests that it's really a lose-lose situation.

NFL Betting Lines

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